Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 82.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 77.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 80.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kempe
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kempe
Bennett
Last 8: Kempe 1-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Kempe
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Kempe
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
46.8% (5,714)
-6.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
53.6% (558)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
41.8% (256)
+0.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bennett
Home
42.4% (1,046)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Kempe
Bennett
P1
39.4%
48.0%
P2
40.1%
46.5%
P3
42.2%
46.8%
OT
37.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
37.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |