Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 96.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 87.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Kempe
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Kempe
Kuraly
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Kempe
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
5
Kempe
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
51.6% (5,161)
-11.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
56.4% (101)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.4% (1,091)
-1.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Kempe
Kuraly
Home
42.4% (1,046)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Kempe
Kuraly
P1
39.4%
51.2%
P2
40.1%
50.0%
P3
42.2%
50.2%
OT
37.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |