Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 41.3%). Kempe wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.9% vs Jarvis 42.5% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 66.5%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 56.7%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 50.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,882)
41.8% (354)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
43.7% (119)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
38.2% (157)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (791).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
42.4% (1,046)
43.8% (336)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
39.4%
39.5%
P2
40.1%
39.5%
P3
42.2%
45.8%
OT
37.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%