Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Jarvis 46.3% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 58.6%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 51.2%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Kempe
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
42.6% (54)
-4.7%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
33.3% (6)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.0% (15)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Jarvis has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarvis
Home
35.8% (67)
43.6% (39)
Away
35.5% (76)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Kempe
Jarvis
P1
36.5%
36.0%
P2
36.7%
48.3%
P3
31.4%
36.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%