Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.6% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 70.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Kempe
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Kempe
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (103)
58.0% (666)
-20.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
64.8% (165)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
43.4% (152)
-18.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kempe is 23.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Kempe shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Kempe
Trocheck
Home
35.8% (67)
55.3% (436)
Away
35.5% (76)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Kempe
Trocheck
P1
36.5%
56.4%
P2
36.7%
58.7%
P3
31.4%
55.5%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |