Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 47.2% vs Duchene 54.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quine 83.8%
Defensive zone
Quine 85.4%
Neutral zone
Quine 83.4%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Quine
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Quine
Duchene
Last 7: Quine 0-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Quine
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Quine
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Quine
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (644)
53.9% (10,438)
-6.7%
Power Play
54.5% (33)
57.0% (1,677)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
49.1% (468)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Quine is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Quine shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Quine
Duchene
Home
54.1% (303)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
41.5% (410)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Quine
Duchene
P1
45.7%
54.4%
P2
46.3%
54.5%
P3
48.9%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
46.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |