Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 42 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Horvat 54.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 67-58 in 125 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Barkov
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
58
(125 meetings)
67
58
Barkov
Horvat
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
23
18
Barkov
Horvat
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
25
17
Barkov
Horvat
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
19
23
Barkov
Horvat
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.9% (12,655)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
61.1% (2,712)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
47.2% (1,500)
+0.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Home / Away
Barkov
Horvat
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.1% (8,423)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Barkov
Horvat
P1
52.7%
54.1%
P2
53.4%
54.5%
P3
52.9%
55.0%
OT
53.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |