Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Smith 50.9% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 57.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Barkov
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
66.7% (9)
-9.7%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
0.0% (1)
+63.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +63.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
59.2% (557)
25.0% (4)
Away
55.1% (695)
83.3% (6)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
75.0%
P3
59.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
60.0%