Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Miller 55.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 70.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Barkov
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Barkov
Miller
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
1
Barkov
Miller
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Barkov
Miller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Barkov
Miller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
56.3% (1,033)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
62.5% (253)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
47.4% (175)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Barkov
Miller
Home
57.4% (540)
58.6% (734)
Away
57.1% (560)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Barkov
Miller
P1
57.6%
57.1%
P2
56.6%
57.0%
P3
56.9%
54.7%
OT
72.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |