Aleksander Barkov vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 79.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 51.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 59.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
52.8% (670)
+2.7%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
37.5% (32)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
14.3% (7)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.4% (550)
52.5% (366)
Away
56.7% (476)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
P1
56.5%
53.8%
P2
55.5%
49.2%
P3
57.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |