Aleksander Barkov vs Matt Duchene
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.5%). Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 55.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 62.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Barkov
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barkov
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Barkov
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
56.5% (566)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
61.3% (62)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
22.2% (9)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Barkov
Duchene
Home
57.4% (540)
56.6% (318)
Away
57.1% (560)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Barkov
Duchene
P1
57.6%
57.2%
P2
56.6%
55.1%
P3
56.9%
55.6%
OT
72.2%
81.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |