Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan McLeod

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 53.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McLeod 60.5%
Defensive zone McLeod 75.8%
Neutral zone McLeod 66.7%
Result Ryan McLeod favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Barkov McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Barkov McLeod
Last 9: Barkov 2-7 McLeod

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Barkov McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Barkov McLeod
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barkov
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.4% (3,376)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
50.7% (296)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
44.1% (644)
+3.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Barkov
McLeod
Home
53.8% (7,227)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Barkov
McLeod
P1
52.7%
50.8%
P2
53.4%
48.0%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
OT
53.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%
47.5%
53.0%
McLeod
40.0%
50.0%
49.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 8, 2025 3 13:24 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Mar 8, 2025 1 12:47 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 16:44 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 07:13 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 06:58 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Dec 16, 2023 2 14:29 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Dec 16, 2023 2 01:02 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Dec 16, 2023 1 15:36 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Feb 26, 2022 2 15:23 Offensive Aleksander Barkov