Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.8%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Barkov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barkov
O'Reilly
Last 5: Barkov 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Barkov
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
56.1% (690)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
64.6% (96)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
45.9% (109)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
58.1% (627)
58.3% (408)
Away
52.1% (705)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
53.3%
57.7%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
56.0%
55.2%
OT
60.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |