Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Belzile on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Belzile wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs Coyle 48.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Belzile
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Belzile
Coyle
Last 9: Belzile 6-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belzile
4
2
Belzile
Coyle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
49.4% (7,898)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (794)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
43.5% (1,100)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Belzile is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Belzile shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Home / Away
Belzile
Coyle
Home
53.7% (123)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
39.6% (106)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Belzile
Coyle
P1
43.5%
49.5%
P2
47.5%
48.3%
P3
50.6%
48.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Alex Belzile |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |