Scouting Report
Alex DeBrincat holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. DeBrincat wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Connor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 48.1% vs O'Connor 45.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
DeBrincat 61.1%
Defensive zone
O'Connor 67.3%
Neutral zone
O'Connor 55.7%
Result
Drew O'Connor favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
DeBrincat
O'Connor
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
DeBrincat
O'Connor
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
0
1
DeBrincat
O'Connor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (42)
42.4% (92)
+2.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
33.3% (3)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (20)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots left. DeBrincat is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (41).
DeBrincat shoots right. O'Connor is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
O'Connor
Home
40.0% (30)
41.8% (67)
Away
50.0% (28)
41.7% (48)
By Period
DeBrincat
O'Connor
P1
44.4%
42.9%
P2
66.7%
41.9%
P3
26.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.8%
O'Connor
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |