Alex DeBrincat vs Nick Schmaltz

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Schmaltz holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) DeBrincat 45.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone Schmaltz 63.9%
Defensive zone DeBrincat 50.5%
Neutral zone DeBrincat 50.6%
Result Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
DeBrincat Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
45.9% (697)
-10.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
47.9% (117)
-6.2%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +10.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. DeBrincat is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (16).
DeBrincat shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Home
47.8% (23)
44.9% (434)
Away
26.1% (23)
47.7% (405)
By Period
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
P1
42.1%
41.5%
P2
36.4%
46.7%
P3
33.3%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%
43.5%
37.0%
Schmaltz
42.0%
46.0%
46.2%