Alex Killorn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Killorn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Killorn wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 40.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Killorn leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Killorn 62.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Killorn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Killorn
Pageau
Last 10: Killorn 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
4
0
Killorn
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Killorn
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (483)
55.8% (9,525)
-17.5%
Power Play
50.6% (87)
57.0% (1,008)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
25.3% (75)
49.6% (2,077)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Killorn is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Killorn shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Killorn
Pageau
Home
38.9% (303)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
38.0% (342)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Killorn
Pageau
P1
35.1%
54.7%
P2
42.6%
56.3%
P3
37.6%
53.5%
OT
27.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
41.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.0%
38.4%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |