Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Killorn wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 41.5% vs Marner 42.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 53.4%
Defensive zone
Marner 60.4%
Neutral zone
Marner 56.1%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Killorn
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Killorn
Marner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
1
0
Killorn
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
34.1% (88)
40.8% (316)
-6.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
40.0% (5)
+45.7%
Penalty Kill
11.8% (17)
25.0% (12)
-13.2%
On power play, Killorn has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Killorn is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Killorn shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Killorn
Marner
Home
31.5% (54)
36.0% (186)
Away
36.2% (58)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Killorn
Marner
P1
31.7%
40.7%
P2
33.3%
41.0%
P3
38.2%
38.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.0%
33.9%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |