Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Laferriere shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Laferriere 43.2% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 66.5%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 56.6%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 70.3%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Lowry
Laferriere
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Laferriere
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Laferriere
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
2
Lowry
Laferriere
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
1
Lowry
Laferriere
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Laferriere
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Laferriere
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
41.8% (325)
+13.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
52.9% (17)
+32.8%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
37.5% (72)
+1.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laferriere shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lowry
Laferriere
Home
54.3% (429)
40.2% (204)
Away
53.5% (385)
42.9% (210)
By Period
Lowry
Laferriere
P1
53.1%
32.5%
P2
55.2%
39.7%
P3
54.4%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |