Alex Laferriere vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Malkin 45.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Laferriere
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Laferriere
Malkin
Last 5: Laferriere 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
45.6% (10,081)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
50.1% (668)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
32.2% (59)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Laferriere has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Laferriere is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Laferriere shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Malkin
Home
40.2% (249)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
41.8% (275)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Laferriere
Malkin
P1
35.8%
45.9%
P2
39.1%
46.2%
P3
45.6%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |