Alex Laferriere vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Laferriere 43.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Laferriere 59.6%
Defensive zone Laferriere 75.8%
Neutral zone Laferriere 75.4%
Result Alex Laferriere favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Laferriere Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 5 (6 meetings)
1
5
Laferriere Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Laferriere 1-5 Kotkaniemi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Laferriere Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Laferriere Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Laferriere Kotkaniemi
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
47.3% (207)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
100.0% (3)
-47.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
33.3% (3)
+4.2%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +47.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Laferriere shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Home
40.2% (204)
46.5% (129)
Away
42.9% (210)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
P1
32.5%
51.3%
P2
39.7%
46.1%
P3
48.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%
40.0%
41.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
47.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 18, 2025 3 06:01 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 18, 2025 2 16:56 Offensive Alex Laferriere
Oct 18, 2025 2 02:55 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 18, 2025 1 19:54 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 18, 2025 1 19:40 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 18, 2025 1 16:13 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi