Alex Laferriere vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 59.6%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 75.8%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 75.4%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Laferriere 1-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
47.3% (207)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
100.0% (3)
-47.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
33.3% (3)
+4.2%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Laferriere shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
Home
40.2% (204)
46.5% (129)
Away
42.9% (210)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Laferriere
Kotkaniemi
P1
32.5%
51.3%
P2
39.7%
46.1%
P3
48.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |