Alex Laferriere vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Laferriere holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 67.0%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 63.2%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 53.5%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Last 8: Laferriere 4-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (325)
40.5% (190)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
42.9% (14)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (72)
30.0% (10)
+7.5%
On power play, Laferriere has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Laferriere is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Laferriere shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Home
40.2% (204)
40.7% (118)
Away
42.9% (210)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Laferriere
Buchnevich
P1
32.5%
42.3%
P2
39.7%
37.5%
P3
48.9%
40.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |