Alex Laferriere vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Laferriere holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 67.8%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 57.3%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 50.9%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Last 8: Laferriere 4-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
34.5% (931)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
44.2% (52)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
24.3% (37)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Laferriere has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Laferriere is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Laferriere shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Home
40.2% (249)
35.6% (517)
Away
41.8% (275)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Laferriere
Buchnevich
P1
35.8%
35.2%
P2
39.1%
34.8%
P3
45.6%
33.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |