Alex Laferriere vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Laferriere holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.0% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 64.5%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 50.6%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 60.6%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Last 8: Laferriere 4-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Laferriere
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (342)
33.7% (819)
+9.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
44.7% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (57)
21.9% (32)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Laferriere has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Laferriere is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Laferriere shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Buchnevich
Home
40.3% (181)
34.9% (459)
Away
42.1% (235)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Laferriere
Buchnevich
P1
39.4%
33.9%
P2
39.0%
33.9%
P3
43.0%
33.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
32.0%▼
41.0%
41.3%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |