Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Steel 50.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 54.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 50.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Laferriere
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Laferriere
Steel
Last 8: Laferriere 4-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Laferriere
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (427)
50.6% (2,876)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
62.6% (179)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
37.4% (254)
-1.0%
On power play, Steel has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Laferriere is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Laferriere shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Steel
Home
40.2% (249)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
41.8% (275)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Laferriere
Steel
P1
35.8%
51.9%
P2
39.1%
49.5%
P3
45.6%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
38.0%▼
40.0%
41.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |