Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Matthews 58.8% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 70.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 61.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 64.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Newhook
Matthews
Last 6: Newhook 2-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
2
Newhook
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
2
Newhook
Matthews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
59.8% (848)
-16.1%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
64.9% (37)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
56.3% (87)
-6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
45.4% (108)
60.0% (520)
Away
40.7% (86)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
39.0%
60.2%
P2
41.0%
58.2%
P3
50.0%
60.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |