Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Dewar 45.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 74.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 76.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 64.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Newhook
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Newhook
Dewar
Last 9: Newhook 5-4 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Dewar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
1
Newhook
Dewar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
2
Newhook
Dewar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
45.4% (1,037)
-3.7%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
60.9% (23)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.7% (199)
+2.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dewar
Home
41.7% (1,076)
43.8% (603)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
46.3% (656)
By Period
Newhook
Dewar
P1
40.1%
43.7%
P2
42.2%
46.7%
P3
43.1%
45.0%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |