Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Cozens 53.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 67.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 64.5%
Neutral zone
Newhook 63.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Newhook
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Newhook
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Newhook
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Newhook
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
53.2% (634)
-9.5%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
57.7% (97)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Newhook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Newhook shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Newhook
Cozens
Home
45.4% (108)
54.8% (383)
Away
40.7% (86)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Newhook
Cozens
P1
39.0%
56.0%
P2
41.0%
51.2%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |