Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.9% vs 41.8%). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 60.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 51.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 51.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Newhook
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
42.0% (1,740)
-0.3%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
46.1% (89)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
36.7% (139)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Newhook
Barbashev
Home
41.7% (1,076)
42.4% (934)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Newhook
Barbashev
P1
40.1%
40.8%
P2
42.2%
42.3%
P3
43.1%
42.2%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%