Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.9% vs 42.8%). Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs McCann 43.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 55.5%
Defensive zone
Newhook 50.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 56.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Newhook
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Newhook
McCann
Last 8: Newhook 3-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Newhook
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Newhook
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Newhook
McCann
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
43.1% (3,178)
-1.4%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
40.0% (260)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
42.2% (173)
+2.2%
On power play, Newhook has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
Home / Away
Newhook
McCann
Home
41.7% (1,076)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Newhook
McCann
P1
40.1%
44.4%
P2
42.2%
41.7%
P3
43.1%
42.7%
OT
80.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jared McCann |