Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Megna 49.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 76.5%
Defensive zone
Megna 64.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 50.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Newhook
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Megna
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Megna
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
Newhook
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Megna
0
1
Newhook
Megna
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
49.1% (401)
-7.4%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
50.0% (4)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
47.6% (42)
-3.2%
On even strength, Megna has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Newhook is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (846).
Newhook shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Newhook
Megna
Home
41.7% (1,076)
49.3% (227)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
48.6% (220)
By Period
Newhook
Megna
P1
40.1%
51.7%
P2
42.2%
49.3%
P3
43.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |