Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Tavares 56.8% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 83.2%
Defensive zone
Newhook 74.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 80.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Newhook
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Newhook
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
57.7% (975)
-14.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
56.0% (250)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
45.4% (108)
57.4% (636)
Away
40.7% (86)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
39.0%
57.5%
P2
41.0%
56.9%
P3
50.0%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
35.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |