Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Eller 50.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 90.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 76.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 85.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Newhook
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Newhook
Eller
Last 10: Newhook 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Newhook
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Newhook
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Newhook
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
51.1% (10,321)
-9.4%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
52.8% (621)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
46.6% (1,759)
-2.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Newhook
Eller
Home
41.7% (1,076)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Newhook
Eller
P1
40.1%
51.2%
P2
42.2%
50.1%
P3
43.1%
50.2%
OT
80.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |