Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Brown 39.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 62.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 62.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 62.2%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Newhook
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Newhook
Brown
Last 7: Newhook 2-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Newhook
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
4
Newhook
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
37.4% (457)
+4.3%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
39.4% (33)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
25.0% (4)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Newhook
Brown
Home
41.7% (1,076)
39.7% (239)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Newhook
Brown
P1
40.1%
39.8%
P2
42.2%
33.7%
P3
43.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |