Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Frost 50.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 86.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 80.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 86.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Newhook
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Newhook
Frost
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Newhook
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
49.7% (3,652)
-8.0%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
55.4% (632)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
55.0% (40)
-10.6%
On power play, Frost has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Newhook
Frost
Home
41.7% (1,076)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Newhook
Frost
P1
40.1%
51.2%
P2
42.2%
51.3%
P3
43.1%
48.8%
OT
80.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |