Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 87.9%
Defensive zone
Newhook 87.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 89.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Newhook
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
13
(15 meetings)
2
13
Newhook
Paul
Last 10: Newhook 2-8 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Newhook
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
4
Newhook
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
5
Newhook
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
52.6% (3,823)
-10.9%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
56.2% (484)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
46.9% (576)
-2.5%
On power play, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
41.7% (1,076)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
40.1%
53.8%
P2
42.2%
51.0%
P3
43.1%
52.2%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |