Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs McLeod 49.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 55.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 54.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Newhook
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Newhook
McLeod
Last 10: Newhook 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
1
Newhook
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Newhook
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
5
Newhook
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
50.4% (3,376)
-8.7%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
50.7% (296)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.1% (644)
+0.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Newhook
McLeod
Home
41.7% (1,076)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Newhook
McLeod
P1
40.1%
50.8%
P2
42.2%
48.0%
P3
43.1%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |