Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Poehling 48.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 83.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 68.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Newhook
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Poehling
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Newhook
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
50.4% (680)
-6.7%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
58.3% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
38.8% (219)
+11.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Newhook
Poehling
Home
45.4% (108)
47.4% (422)
Away
40.7% (86)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Newhook
Poehling
P1
39.0%
53.3%
P2
41.0%
40.3%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |