Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Carrick 54.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 57.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 91.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 84.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
55.5% (470)
-11.8%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
66.7% (3)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
45.4% (108)
58.6% (261)
Away
40.7% (86)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
39.0%
55.9%
P2
41.0%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |