Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Newhook
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Newhook
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
53.0% (874)
-9.3%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
54.7% (161)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
47.5% (101)
+2.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Newhook
Monahan
Home
45.4% (108)
53.8% (558)
Away
40.7% (86)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Newhook
Monahan
P1
39.0%
49.5%
P2
41.0%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
35.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |