Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.9% vs 42.6%). Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Newhook
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Newhook
Thompson
Last 10: Newhook 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Newhook
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Newhook
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
42.9% (3,540)
-1.2%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
46.9% (373)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
33.6% (265)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Newhook is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (846).
Newhook shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Newhook
Thompson
Home
41.7% (1,076)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Newhook
Thompson
P1
40.1%
44.4%
P2
42.2%
43.7%
P3
43.1%
40.0%
OT
80.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |