Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Newhook
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Newhook
Hertl
Last 10: Newhook 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Newhook
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
53.9% (8,303)
-12.2%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
59.2% (1,995)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
46.3% (806)
-1.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Newhook
Hertl
Home
41.7% (1,076)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Newhook
Hertl
P1
40.1%
53.6%
P2
42.2%
54.2%
P3
43.1%
55.3%
OT
80.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |