Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Zegras 39.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 55.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 81.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Newhook
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Newhook
Zegras
Last 9: Newhook 6-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
0
Newhook
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Newhook
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
39.0% (1,703)
+2.7%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
38.5% (148)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
25.0% (8)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Newhook
Zegras
Home
41.7% (1,076)
40.5% (908)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Newhook
Zegras
P1
40.1%
40.0%
P2
42.2%
38.6%
P3
43.1%
38.2%
OT
80.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |