Alex Tanguay vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tanguay on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tanguay wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 41.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Tanguay 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tanguay
3
1
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (251)
44.8% (8,775)
-5.4%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
50.6% (844)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (89)
37.8% (880)
+0.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tanguay is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Tanguay shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
38.9% (203)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
40.0% (180)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.9%
45.1%
P2
35.9%
43.9%
P3
40.3%
45.2%
OT
36.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |