Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Coleman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Coleman 47.3% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 54.6%
Defensive zone
Coleman 62.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 56.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tuch
Coleman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
33.3% (21)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
50.0% (10)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Tuch
Coleman
Home
48.5% (33)
46.2% (13)
Away
37.1% (35)
33.3% (18)
By Period
Tuch
Coleman
P1
33.3%
42.9%
P2
46.2%
40.0%
P3
52.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%