Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Cizikas 51.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 97.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 78.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 89.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Tuch
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tuch
Cizikas
Last 7: Tuch 1-6 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Tuch
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Tuch
Cizikas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Tuch
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
53.5% (8,976)
-14.8%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
55.4% (177)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
44.4% (1,896)
-1.2%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cizikas
Home
42.1% (394)
53.8% (5,529)
Away
38.8% (402)
50.1% (5,521)
By Period
Tuch
Cizikas
P1
44.7%
53.1%
P2
40.6%
51.1%
P3
36.0%
51.8%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |