Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Mittelstadt 50.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 62.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Tuch
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
49.6% (141)
-3.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.8% (31)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
100.0% (1)
-72.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +72.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Home
48.5% (33)
58.7% (92)
Away
37.1% (35)
42.0% (81)
By Period
Tuch
Mittelstadt
P1
33.3%
47.7%
P2
46.2%
48.2%
P3
52.9%
56.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |