Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Dvorak 53.3% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 75.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 83.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 67.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Tuch
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
54.2% (804)
-7.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.2% (131)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
46.4% (84)
-19.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Tuch
Dvorak
Home
48.5% (33)
53.9% (497)
Away
37.1% (35)
53.3% (522)
By Period
Tuch
Dvorak
P1
33.3%
54.6%
P2
46.2%
53.2%
P3
52.9%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |