Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Farabee 37.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 58.9%
Defensive zone
Farabee 51.8%
Neutral zone
Farabee 50.8%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Tuch
Farabee
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Farabee
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
0
1
Tuch
Farabee
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
32.7% (312)
+6.0%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
46.4% (56)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
32.0% (25)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Farabee is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Tuch
Farabee
Home
42.1% (394)
33.7% (178)
Away
38.8% (402)
35.3% (215)
By Period
Tuch
Farabee
P1
44.7%
39.9%
P2
40.6%
32.8%
P3
36.0%
28.4%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |