Alex Tuch vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Marchessault 46.7% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 58.9%
Defensive zone
Tuch 56.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Tuch
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
35.3% (34)
+11.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
On power play, Marchessault has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Tuch is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Tuch shoots right. Marchessault is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchessault
Home
48.5% (33)
40.0% (25)
Away
37.1% (35)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Tuch
Marchessault
P1
33.3%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
30.8%
P3
52.9%
22.2%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%